Statistical Significance Calculator
Understanding A/B Testing
What is Statistical Significance?
Statistical significance (confidence level) tells you the probability that the difference in conversion rates between Variant A and Variant B is real, and not just due to random chance.
95% Confidence means there is only a 5% chance (p-value < 0.05) that the observed difference is a fluke.
Relative Lift
Relative lift measures the percentage improvement of Variant B over Variant A.
Formula: ((CR_B - CR_A) / CR_A) × 100
Example: If A converts at 2% and B at 2.5%, the lift is ((2.5 - 2) / 2) × 100 = 25% improvement.
Common Pitfalls
- Peeking: Checking results too early and stopping the test prematurely inflates false positive rates.
- Sample Size: Running a test with too few visitors leads to unreliable results.
- Multiple Testing: Testing too many variants at once without adjusting significance thresholds.
- Seasonality: Not running the test for full weekly cycles (e.g., stopping on a Tuesday).
Best Practices
- Form a hypothesis: "Changing X will improve Y because Z."
- Calculate sample size beforehand: Use a sample size calculator to know how long to run the test.
- Run for full cycles: Let the test run for at least 1-2 full business weeks.
- Focus on primary metrics: Don't get distracted by secondary metric fluctuations.
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